Jim's Daily Blog

How To Trim Your Utility Bills Without Inconveniencing Yourself

The average family spends $2,200 per year in electric bills and the average home is responsible for twice the amount of greenhouse gases than the average automobile.

Whether you want to save money or save the environment, this 5-minute piece from the NBC Today Show is for you. In it, you'll learn that just by being aware of your energy consumption, you can reduce it by up to 15 percent. 

The piece centers on a device called a Power Monitor which retails from $30 to $100, depending on the model. It measures the actual cost of using an appliance, or using a light, or charging a laptop, or any other household energy use.

Among the cost findings:

• A plugged-in phone charger no phone attached costs $0.10 per hour
• Cooking with a microwave costs $0.88 per hour
• Big screen TVs cost $0.06 per hour to operate

Obviously, turning off lights when rooms aren't in use saves money, too.

By making small changes -- most of which aren't inconvenient -- the average family can drop its energy bill by hundreds of dollars each year. 

When It's A Holiday Week, Mortgage Rate Shoppers Should Be Extra Vigilant

Mortgage pricing worsened Monday, driving mortgage rates to their highest levels since October.

The day's action was drastic, too. 

Some banks issued as many as 3 rate sheets Monday -- each worse than the preceding and one reason why rates got so bad, so quickly, is because this week marks the beginning of mini-Vacation Season on Wall Street. 

Between now and January 4, 2010, be prepared for big swings in pricing from day-to-day.  Shopping for a mortgage could be a challenge.

The relationship between vacation days and mortgage rate volatility is rooted in how mortgage rates are "made".

1. Conforming mortgage rates are based on the price of mortgage-backed bonds, a security that is sold on Wall Street
2. Mortgage-backed bonds can't sell without a bond buyer and a bond seller agreeing to a specific sale price

So, during vacation week, when the total number of market participants are less, there are fewer opportunities for buyers and sellers to meet at a specific price.  As a result, bond prices rise and fall with a higher velocity than on a "normal" day.  Rallies and momentum plays are exaggerated, too.

Now, mortgage market action like this can work in your favor, or it could work out of your favor. Unfortunately, on Monday, rates moved out of favor.

This rest of this week is stacked with market-moving economic data. The data could be better-than-expected, or worse-than-expected.  Either way, markets will react a little more feverishly than normal.  Therefore, if you have a chance to lock a favorable rate, consider taking it.

Before long, the rate could be gone.

Fannie Mae Gets Tough(er) On Borrowers. Again.

Fannie Mae raised the bar for mortgage applicants this past weekend.  Getting approved for a home loan just got harder.

In its official announcement, Fannie Mae says the updates minimize long-term lending risks.  If that's the case, this won't be the last guideline change Fannie Mae makes -- especially with loans defaulting at an above-normal clip.

The immediate changes are major. The first pertains to credit scores.

Effective December 13, 2009, the bulk of Fannie Mae's loans require a 620 credit score minimum.  There are very few exceptions.

A second relates to loans with private mortgage insurance. 

Homeowners whose loan-to-value exceeds 80 percent now have a choice:

1. Pay higher mortgage insurance premiums month-after-month
2. Pay a one-time fee paid at closing to compensate for higher risk

Both options result in higher consumer loan costs.

A third change concerns maximum debt-to-income ratio. Fannie Mae will no longer approve loans with debt ratios exceeding 45 percent except with very strong assets and very high credit scores. 

In no case whatsoever may debt-to-income exceed 50 percent.

There are other changes, too, including the elimination of seldom-used mortgage products and additional risk-based fees for "expanded level" mortgage approvals.  These updates affect just a small part of the population.

So, home prices are rebounding, mortgage rates are low, and -- for 5 more months at least -- there's a federal tax credit for qualified buyers.  You don't have to buy a home now, but with mortgage guidelines sure to tighten in 2010, now may be a better time than later.

The best "deal" won't matter if you can't get qualified on your mortgage.

How To Increase Your 2009 Mortgage Interest Tax Deduction

For many American homeowners, interest paid on a mortgage is tax-deductible in the year in which it was paid.

Knowing that, eligible homeowners can increase their 2009 tax deductions just by making their January 2010 mortgage payment before the end of the year.

By paying in 2009, the mortgage interest paid can be applied against 2009's itemized tax deductions even though the payment isn't technically due until 2010.

It can reduce your tax burden come Thursday, April 15, 2010.

And lest you think you're paying the mortgage "in advance", remember that mortgage interest is paid in arrears; a payment due January 1 accounts for interest that accumulated in December 2009 anyway. 

Tax planning is a complicated issue and not all homeowners qualify for mortgage interest tax deductions. Check with your tax professional before making tax planning decisions.

If you don't have an accountant you trust, call or email me anytime; I'm happy to make a recommendation to you.

Falling Unemployment Rate Leads To Higher Mortgage Rates Today

This morning's jobs report is causing mortgage rates to rise, capping a week during which rates have already jumped 3/8 percent off all-time lows.

The government's November Non-Farm Payrolls report reinforced the notion that the recession is nearly over, if not over already.

Just 11,000 jobs were lost last month -- much fewer than analysts had expected -- as the Unemployment Rate fell to 10.0%.

If it seems strange to be talking economic recovery while Americans are still losing jobs -- 7.2 million since 2008 --  remember that data always needs context.

See, analysts view employment figures as a lagging indicator for the economy.  This is because business owners tend to make hiring decisions based on how business has been -- not on how it will be at some point in the future.

The jobs report rarely reflects the "right now".  As an example, job loss peaked in January 2009 -- 4 months after the height of the financial crisis. 

We saw the same pattern during the Recession of 2001. 

According to government data, during the last recession, job loss peaked in October 2001 but the recession ended the very next month.  It wasn't until October 2002 that employment went net positive on a monthly basis.

And this is why investors are cheering November's jobs report. Better-than-expected numbers and a falling Unemployment Rate show that the economy is improving.

Unfortunately for rate shoppers, better-than-expected data is pushing mortgage rates higher.  Rates are expected to open 0.250% higher versus yesterday's close.

Store Credit Cards : The Hidden Cost Of "Instant Savings"

'Tis the season to do shopping -- and get bombarded with offers to open credit cards.

The deals are tempting, too. "Open a charge card today" and save up to 20% on your purchase. Considering that the average Black Friday ticket was $343, that's $68 saved per store.

For big-ticket items like televisions, the savings are even bigger.

But for people in the market for a new home -- or looking to refinance -- taking advantage of in-store savings could be a long-term money loser.

Every time you apply for a credit card, your credit score drops.

According to myFICO.com, "new credit" accounts for 85 out of 850 possible credit scoring points.  New credit is defined by such traits as:

• Number of recently opened accounts
• Number of recent credit inquiries
• Time since credit inquiry(s)
• Proportion of accounts that are recently opened to all open accounts

Shoppers with few open credit cards are more likely to see their scores drop that shoppers with many cards. 

Regardless, a credit score is worth protecting because of how mortgage rates are made.  A conventional mortgage applicant with 20% equity whose FICO is 720-739 will be subject to a 0.125% loan fee that a comparable applicant at 740 would not have to pay.

• For 700-719, the cost increases to 0.750%
• For 680-699, the cost increases to 1.500%
• For 660-679, the cost increases to 2.500%

Having a low credit score can be expensive.

It is okay to take advantage of in-store savings during the holiday shopping season, but it's also important to be aware of how your credit score may be affected.  

If you're not applying for a mortgage in the next six months, you'll likely be alright.  But, on the other hand, if you know you'll need your FICO soon, consider whether saving 15 percent on a $343 ticket is worth the long-term cost of a higher mortgage rate.

Pending Home Sales Data Forecasts Higher Home Values Next Month

When a home seller accepts a contract on an MLS-listed property, the property's status changes from "Active" to "Pending".

This means the home is scheduled to sell, but not yet sold.

Each month, the National Association of Realtors® tallies the number of pending homes and publishes the data as the Pending Homes Sales Index report.

In October, for the 9th straight month, the index gained. It's the longest such streak in Pending Home Sales history.

Because a "pending" home sale is just a contract between buyer and seller, it's not as important to the economy as actual home sales.  However, the Pending Home Sales Index can be a fine predictor of future activity.

Historically, 80 percent of homes under contract "close" within 60 days, and most others close within 120 days. Recent Existing Home Sales data corroborates this.  Home sales activity is at its highest pace in nearly 3 years.

The Pending Home Sales Index does have some shortcomings, though:

1. It doesn't account for newly constructed homes, a small but important part of the real estate market
2. It doesn't track For Sale By Owner properties and other non-MLS listed homes
3. Its sample set is small, measuring just 20 percent of all MLS-listed sales

Despite this, however, Pending Home Sales is a terrific measure of real estate market strength.  Homes are going under contract at a dizzying pace. It's thinning out home inventory supplies and pressuring prices to rise.

This chain reaction is what makes Pending Home Sales Index worth tracking. As the number of homes under contract increase, home prices can't be far behind.